Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 1.136230 1.313544 1.508857 1.739884 2.005650 2.301768 2.656740
2025-04-20 0.874754 1.102619 1.375334 1.725532 2.163165 2.691952 3.379539
2025-04-27 0.719201 0.977690 1.310270 1.768998 2.384979 3.183365 4.297112
2025-05-04 0.597701 0.869409 1.242364 1.790698 2.575686 3.658584 5.266453
2025-05-11 0.499943 0.773202 1.170899 1.790337 2.729815 4.100614 6.253290
2025-05-18 0.410978 0.672416 1.073880 1.733107 2.787082 4.405659 7.080586
2025-05-25 0.334575 0.576678 0.967347 1.640903 2.771414 4.591154 7.742972
2025-06-01 0.289029 0.522716 0.917446 1.629272 2.878628 4.978439 8.775261
2025-06-08 0.248217 0.469663 0.860119 1.594538 2.938644 5.290808 9.718390
2025-06-15 0.232210 0.458141 0.872624 1.683167 3.224963 6.025310 11.495147
2025-06-22 0.210515 0.432277 0.854811 1.712345 3.404614 6.588953 13.031427
2025-06-29 0.185908 0.396701 0.813209 1.689158 3.479757 6.965159 14.257898
2025-07-06 0.156502 0.347631 0.739893 1.596073 3.411677 7.072452 15.004632
2025-07-13 0.144530 0.333479 0.735446 1.644164 3.639121 7.797371 17.109234
2025-07-20 0.136440 0.326544 0.745167 1.724003 3.945515 8.725716 19.773369
2025-07-27 0.126359 0.313401 0.739369 1.768630 4.181323 9.535897 22.295773
2025-08-03 0.115259 0.295991 0.721296 1.782345 4.348979 10.218840 24.628652
2025-08-10 0.101626 0.270081 0.679487 1.733505 4.363098 10.556813 26.211452
2025-08-17 0.087647 0.240894 0.625293 1.645874 4.270119 10.631777 27.175126
2025-08-24 0.079559 0.225772 0.603709 1.636922 4.370910 11.182012 29.378366
2025-08-31 0.071253 0.208659 0.574457 1.603606 4.404435 11.571060 31.229300
2025-09-07 0.069219 0.208737 0.590510 1.693719 4.775668 12.860096 35.586713
2025-09-14 0.064811 0.201244 0.584948 1.723674 4.988719 13.767723 39.055947